So, UPA has finally won the confidence vote and the US-India Nuclear deal will go through. UPA won 275 votes, opposition got 256 and 11 abstained.
This victory will create a mess for many. Prakash Karat of CPI -M has lost face and probably a lot of his political future. Somnath Chaterjee is a winner in this by not taking the side of his party – and using this opportunity to cut down Karat short and making a useful future for himself in the coming months and year. There may be another break up in CPI-M, pro and anti-Karat camps, which should be interesting configuration in the coming elections. One faction may well side with UPA and the other will be the party spoiler (and so waiting to make some money).
BJP may have also lost some of its future power.. surely some of the flock didn’t go along the opportunistic stand taken by party this time. It was shameful on how they behaved. Given the political experience and sagacity, this is the last thing Advani should have gone along with.
So, this elections will see a weakened National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and Left and a strong UPA. The weak Left has a home in the Third Front – along with Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and some other parties like Telugu Desam and Telangana Rashtriya Samithi.
Where does this lead to in the coming elections?
In the coming years, if the Nuclear Deal is used for what it is going to be used – Nuclear energy – then a lot will change in the Indian economy. But the ramifications of this deal will much farther reaching than the Indian borders. I will explain in my next post.
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