An Indian Civilizational Perspective

Exit Polls show a trend.. but does that matter?

horsetrading.jpgThe last phase of the elections is over. And the exit polls are now making their presence felt now. According to the various exit polls, one thing becomes clear – that Congress has a lead – little, but definite one. However, if the overall UPA and NDA alliance is taken into account, then one feels that NDA has a better tally than the UPA. But that is where the rational forecasting stops.

The dark horses are those in the Third Front. It is obvious that Congress and these rag-tag Third Front have at different times supported each other at different times totally at variance with the election promises and manifestoes. In a radio program in Houston, where I was invited, I had argued that manifestoes – based on which so many debates are done, are basically useless! Specifically in case of Congress. Because we all know that they will in the end join Communists and make a mincemeat of all the progressive and trade oriented thinking!

So basically get ready for a round of hard core horse trading by Congress and YET AGAIN… the joining of hands with Communists.. not for something positive.. but to “keep BJP out”. Sometimes, I wonder if the Third Front and Congress say this because they are afraid of a majority actually BECOMING a vote bank? Why are they so afraid of BJP?

And please let’s not get into the “Secular vs Communalism” nonsense! Congress and Communists are more communal than BJP but they have been more effective in projecting themselves. It is easy in India to utter the word “Hindu” or “Hindutva” and make one embarrassed. Such is the ridiculous situation!

No one party has killed and abused as many communities – minorities and majority – to retain power as Congress has!

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2 Comments
  1. Anonymous says

    Before the comment, nice image for horse trading!

    As someone commented on one of the news channels, if the projections are true, it is a good election to lose. If the actual seat position is similar to what has been projected, any party that somehow managed to get to 272 will have a difficult time running the government and the smart thing to do will be to sit in the opposition and wait for the mid-term polls. Let’s hope that sane people in Congress as well as BJP will see this logic rather than forming baseless alliances.

    On the “majority” becoming a vote bank, that will never happen. Collective action becomes progressively difficult to engineer as the size of the group grows, so I don’t see the “majority” acting as a cohesive group anytime soon. If BJP wants to come to power, it will have to improve it’s image and show up a more inclusive face.

    For now, however, BJP’s so-called untouchability might actually work in favor of them. If they were not so untouchable, they would have easily forged an alliance will all jokers including the communists, the laloos, the mayawatis and the pawars to come to power by compromising on core issues. Given their untouchability, they are unable to do that. In my view, even if this means sitting in the opposition, in the long run, this will be good for them.

  2. Anonymous says

    Before the comment, nice image for horse trading!

    As someone commented on one of the news channels, if the projections are true, it is a good election to lose. If the actual seat position is similar to what has been projected, any party that somehow managed to get to 272 will have a difficult time running the government and the smart thing to do will be to sit in the opposition and wait for the mid-term polls. Let’s hope that sane people in Congress as well as BJP will see this logic rather than forming baseless alliances.

    On the “majority” becoming a vote bank, that will never happen. Collective action becomes progressively difficult to engineer as the size of the group grows, so I don’t see the “majority” acting as a cohesive group anytime soon. If BJP wants to come to power, it will have to improve it’s image and show up a more inclusive face.

    For now, however, BJP’s so-called untouchability might actually work in favor of them. If they were not so untouchable, they would have easily forged an alliance will all jokers including the communists, the laloos, the mayawatis and the pawars to come to power by compromising on core issues. Given their untouchability, they are unable to do that. In my view, even if this means sitting in the opposition, in the long run, this will be good for them.

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