An Indian Civilizational Perspective

"China may attack India by 2012"

Bharat Verma, Editor of the Indian Defence Review has predicted that China will launch an attack on India before 2012.

There are multiple reasons for a desperate Beijing to teach India the final lesson, thereby ensuring Chinese supremacy in Asia in this century.

The triggers according to Verma maybe:

  • Internal social unrest
  • Heavy toll from the current recession on its economy
  • Neutralizing of Pakistan (China’s proxy) as an effective threat to India
  • US’ attempt to make India a counterweight against China
  • And, US’ Af-Pak policy where one thief is being used take care of another.

The Defence ministry’s annual report for 2008-09 tabled in Rajya Sabha recently has indicated that there is increased link up between Pakistan and China via Kashmir – the territory that was won by China in 1962 and given by Pakistan to China as part of the Trans-Karakoram treaty.

Of course, China has NOW stationed 30 military divisions in the Arunachal Pradesh area, of which it claims about 90,000 sq. Km.

The report from Defence Ministry also seemed to echo Bharat Verma’s views:[3]

“China’s stated objectives, in their White Paper, of developing strategic missile and space-based assets and of rapidly enhancing its blue-water navy to conduct operations in distant waters, as well as the systematic upgrading of infrastructure, reconnaissance and surveillance, quick response and operational capabilities in the border areas, will have an effect on the overall military environment in the neighbourhood of India.”

China is known to be behind the Maoists – who overthrew the Government and monarchy there in Nepal.. and now these guys have made inroads into India. They are now attacking the local administration machinery.

Maoists attacked policemen in Rajnandgaon district of Chhattisgarh and 26 policemen, including SP V K Choubey were killed.

The Maoists problem has taken on a serious proportion now.

When Bharat Verma says:

“Is Indian military equipped to face the two-front wars by Beijing and Islamabad? Is the Indian civil administration geared to meet the internal security challenges that the external actors will sponsor simultaneously through their doctrine of unrestricted warfare? “The answers are an unequivocal ‘no’. Pacifist India is not ready by a long shot either on the internal or the external front,”

… he is pointing to the combined strategy of tactics like Maoists attacks AND placement of 30 military divisions on India’s border.

This situation is serious and India needs to work hard and honestly and Dr. Singh CANNOT.. CANNOT afford to do a Nehru!!

Reference Links:

1. Nervous China may attack India by 2012: Expert
2. 26 policemen killed in separate Maoist attacks in Chhattisgarh
3. India wary of Sino-Pak link-up in occupied Kashmir

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5 Comments
  1. Anonymous says

    Dear Mr. Bharat Verma,
    Congratulations! If you Google for your latest article “Nervous China may attack India by 2012”, you will find more than 9,000 web pages! We have been talking about “potential threat number one” for ten years since George Fernandes. Now you are telling us the real thing will happen within three years. The world is shocked!
    To make your argument more convincing, I would like to offer the following humble suggestions just for your kind reference:
    1. Your article begins with a clear statement that “China will launch an attack on India before 2012”. You should use this as the title of the article rather than “Nervous China may attack India by 2012”. You know that to say something “may happen” is quite different from that to say “will happen”. I believe you are confident, but you also need to show you are serious and responsible. And it would be much better if you explain in a few words why the attack is set exactly before 2012 but not, say, before 2015?
    2. According to your article, the first of the “multiple reasons” for China to attack India is the Chinese economy has been deadly affected by the world recession, which “is creating an unprecedented internal social unrest in China”. But the Chinese leadership has declared that China’s GDP growth in 2009 will be at 8%. It is worse that many economists in the world are also saying that China’s target of 8% growth can be achieved. You should tell the world in a clear way that they are lying.
    3. The second reason is external and “appears to be equally dismal”: “Obama’s policies wisely denies Beijing’s international strategic space”. But US secretary of state Hillary Clinton has declared that US-China relations are the most important bilateral relationship in the 21st century. Madam is going to visit India. You should tell her that we don’t like such nonsense.
    4. The third reason is “the growing irrelevance of Pakistan is increasing the Chinese nervousness” and “a sinking Pakistan will team up with China to teach India ‘the final lesson'”. We can do nothing about that. But you should emphasize that “our enemy’s friend is our enemy” is an eternal truth.
    5. Please don’t talk too much about the Indian “Civil Administration (has been) ceding control of 40 per cent of the Union’s territory to the Maoists and 10 percent to other insurgents”. Otherwise the Chinese would say that you are doing the same to “divert attention from the brewing internal dissent”.
    6. Please don’t say again that the Communists firmly believe that “Chinese race is far superior to Nazi Germany”. Germany is our democratic friend in the West and she has done nothing wrong as far as Indo-China relations are concerned. Otherwise people would say you are crazy.
    7. I salute you memory. Yes, more than 50 years ago, in the Cold War time, Chairman Mao did say that “the east-wind should prevail over the west-wind”. But now you don’t need to poorly change it into “the east-wind to at least prevail over the other east-wind, i.e., India”. You might not be aware that the Chinese once named India as the Western Heaven.
    Dear Sir, if you follow these suggestions and modify your article, you will make an explosion in the Internet. Your magazine “Indian Defence Review” will be the best seller of the year and your financial situation will be improved in a big way.
    By the way, your article revealed a top secret that “the Chinese covertly ordered their other proxy, North Korea, to conduct underground nuclear tests and carry out trials of missiles”. You should have informed an intelligence agency to make a big money before making it public.
    Best wishes,
    Your friend

  2. Anonymous says

    Dear Mr. Bharat Verma,
    Congratulations! If you Google for your latest article “Nervous China may attack India by 2012”, you will find more than 9,000 web pages! We have been talking about “potential threat number one” for ten years since George Fernandes. Now you are telling us the real thing will happen within three years. The world is shocked!
    To make your argument more convincing, I would like to offer the following humble suggestions just for your kind reference:
    1. Your article begins with a clear statement that “China will launch an attack on India before 2012”. You should use this as the title of the article rather than “Nervous China may attack India by 2012”. You know that to say something “may happen” is quite different from that to say “will happen”. I believe you are confident, but you also need to show you are serious and responsible. And it would be much better if you explain in a few words why the attack is set exactly before 2012 but not, say, before 2015?
    2. According to your article, the first of the “multiple reasons” for China to attack India is the Chinese economy has been deadly affected by the world recession, which “is creating an unprecedented internal social unrest in China”. But the Chinese leadership has declared that China’s GDP growth in 2009 will be at 8%. It is worse that many economists in the world are also saying that China’s target of 8% growth can be achieved. You should tell the world in a clear way that they are lying.
    3. The second reason is external and “appears to be equally dismal”: “Obama’s policies wisely denies Beijing’s international strategic space”. But US secretary of state Hillary Clinton has declared that US-China relations are the most important bilateral relationship in the 21st century. Madam is going to visit India. You should tell her that we don’t like such nonsense.
    4. The third reason is “the growing irrelevance of Pakistan is increasing the Chinese nervousness” and “a sinking Pakistan will team up with China to teach India ‘the final lesson'”. We can do nothing about that. But you should emphasize that “our enemy’s friend is our enemy” is an eternal truth.
    5. Please don’t talk too much about the Indian “Civil Administration (has been) ceding control of 40 per cent of the Union’s territory to the Maoists and 10 percent to other insurgents”. Otherwise the Chinese would say that you are doing the same to “divert attention from the brewing internal dissent”.
    6. Please don’t say again that the Communists firmly believe that “Chinese race is far superior to Nazi Germany”. Germany is our democratic friend in the West and she has done nothing wrong as far as Indo-China relations are concerned. Otherwise people would say you are crazy.
    7. I salute you memory. Yes, more than 50 years ago, in the Cold War time, Chairman Mao did say that “the east-wind should prevail over the west-wind”. But now you don’t need to poorly change it into “the east-wind to at least prevail over the other east-wind, i.e., India”. You might not be aware that the Chinese once named India as the Western Heaven.
    Dear Sir, if you follow these suggestions and modify your article, you will make an explosion in the Internet. Your magazine “Indian Defence Review” will be the best seller of the year and your financial situation will be improved in a big way.
    By the way, your article revealed a top secret that “the Chinese covertly ordered their other proxy, North Korea, to conduct underground nuclear tests and carry out trials of missiles”. You should have informed an intelligence agency to make a big money before making it public.
    Best wishes,
    Your friend

  3. Anonymous says

    It is 100% likely that India would be subjected to another chinese attack due to the growing internal conflicts in china. Due to the suppression of Chinese people by their maoist leaders china is increasingly troubled and there is no other way except to divert its attention by attacking India – a soft corner for everybody. The reasons are :The borders of India is not properly marked in all sides. India has not defined its borders from day one. No leaders were capable of doing that. In 1962, we could have easily won over china by capture their territory but due to the weak hearted Nehru, we lost that war. We should not be afraind now in attacking china before they try. Don’t give a chance to them anymore. Put the whole country against china and mastermind the chinese leaders foolishness. For me, Chinese are so simple to be eliminated in the real war situation as they are not well learned and well educated like us. They can be defeated if we can confuse them with intellegent war techniques. So, get ready for another war with china so that we can conquer chinese territory and enjoy it. We should not preach Panchsheel because it is weakman’s philosophy and there is no takers for it now. Nehru and Gandhi were nostalic people and they were not interested to defend their country. They were sooth sayers and just freedom fighters of that era. If at all Ganhdi was alive now, his techniques would have been failed. British people were good and sympathetic towards him and hence he won freedom for us.

  4. Anonymous says

    It is 100% likely that India would be subjected to another chinese attack due to the growing internal conflicts in china. Due to the suppression of Chinese people by their maoist leaders china is increasingly troubled and there is no other way except to divert its attention by attacking India – a soft corner for everybody. The reasons are :The borders of India is not properly marked in all sides. India has not defined its borders from day one. No leaders were capable of doing that. In 1962, we could have easily won over china by capture their territory but due to the weak hearted Nehru, we lost that war. We should not be afraind now in attacking china before they try. Don’t give a chance to them anymore. Put the whole country against china and mastermind the chinese leaders foolishness. For me, Chinese are so simple to be eliminated in the real war situation as they are not well learned and well educated like us. They can be defeated if we can confuse them with intellegent war techniques. So, get ready for another war with china so that we can conquer chinese territory and enjoy it. We should not preach Panchsheel because it is weakman’s philosophy and there is no takers for it now. Nehru and Gandhi were nostalic people and they were not interested to defend their country. They were sooth sayers and just freedom fighters of that era. If at all Ganhdi was alive now, his techniques would have been failed. British people were good and sympathetic towards him and hence he won freedom for us.

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